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Prediction markets

14 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yu Deng
Yu Deng99%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang99%9 more
$578KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest99%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest28%2 more
$10KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

0
99%YesNo
1
22%YesNo
$6.8KVol. Jul 12science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

8%

chance

YesNo
$118KVol. Mar 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+92%
90-100mm22%6 more
$2.6KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3198%
August 30
August 3085%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

≤8
99%YesNo
9
5%YesNo
$6.0KVol. Jul 12science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

425-450mm
425-450mm54%
450-475mm
450-475mm54%8 more
$1.4KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

>6"
>6"73%
4-5"
4-5"68%4 more
$241.91Vol. Jul 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

17%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10061%
100–12950%7 more
$1.2KVol. Aug 1science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC74%
1.25–1.29ºC44%4 more
$2.2KVol. Aug 1science