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Prediction markets
62 active markets
· category “Tech”
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SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$2T
99%
>$1.8T
99%
14 more
$20.0M
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
69 trading now
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
99%
<1.0T
2%
6 more
$1.87M
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
1T+
99%
No IPO before 2028
2%
6 more
$4.26M
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
63 trading now
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Anthropic
99%
Google
7%
24 more
$5.80M
Vol.
Jul 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$142K
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Other (incl $SPCX)
99%
$SEX
2%
17 more
$7.08M
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
57 trading now
Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
99%
OpenAI
4%
24 more
$111K
Vol.
Jul 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$167K
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
43 trading now
What will be said during the next Storytime with the Second Lady?
President
99%
Right
99%
18 more
$26K
Vol.
Jul 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?
Anthropic
77%
Google
70%
24 more
$198K
Vol.
Jul 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
54 trading now
GPT-Bidi-1 released by...?
July 31
99%
July 17
99%
1 more
$28K
Vol.
Jul 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
40 trading now
Anthropic next funding round closed by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$31K
Vol.
Dec 31
tech
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
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